In MLB The Show 26, drop rates are an important factor to understand when you're chasing that dream lineup or specific player cards. The odds of pulling rare cards vary based on the pack type and rarity, so it's essential to know what to expect. Here's a breakdown of the general and specialty pack drop rates in the game.
General Pack Odds
Standard and special packs come with fixed odds for hitting certain card tiers. These odds can help guide your expectations when opening packs.
| Pack Type | Card Type | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| April Spotlight Drop 3 | 89+ Diamond | 1 in 1 |
| April Spotlight Drop 3 | 91+ Diamond | 1 in 4 |
| Live Series Diamond 90+ Pack | Shohei Ohtani/Aaron Judge | 5.0% (1 in 20) |
| Spring Breakout Choice Pack | Break-even rate | 50.0% |
Individual Player Drop Rates (Standard Packs)
When it comes to pulling specific elite Diamond players from standard packs, it's not easy. Here are the drop rates for top "Live Series" cards in standard packs.
| Player (Diamond) | Drop Rate | 1 in X Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.0080% | 1 in 12,500 |
| Aaron Judge | 0.0080% | 1 in 12,500 |
| Jose Ramírez | 0.0170% | 1 in 5,882 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.0170% | 1 in 5,882 |
| Ketel Marte | 0.0270% | 1 in 3,704 |
| Paul Skenes | 0.0270% | 1 in 3,704 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.0270% | 1 in 3,704 |
| Mason Miller | 0.0320% | 1 in 3,125 |
In MLB The Show 26, getting the top-tier cards like Shohei Ohtani or Aaron Judge from packs is no easy task, with extremely low drop rates for these elite players. Whether you're grinding through standard packs or aiming for specialty ones like the April Spotlight or Live Series Diamond 90+ Packs, the odds can vary greatly. While these packs offer great rewards, pulling a specific high-value player is still a rare occurrence.
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Specialty Pack Odds
Certain packs, such as Chase Packs or Deluxe Packs, offer specific odds that vary significantly from standard packs. Here's a look at some of these specialty pack drop rates.
| Pack Type | Top Reward Odds |
|---|---|
| Chase Pack 06 | 0.15% (1 in 667) |
| Deluxe Packs (e.g., Jackie Robinson Day) | 25% (1 in 4) |
| Scouting Report Packs | 1 in 131 |
Other "Drop" Types
Some drop types in MLB The Show 26 are earned outside of the traditional pack system, such as Twitch Drops or Frame Rate Drops. Here's how they work:
Twitch Drops
By watching authorized MLB The Show 26 streams on Twitch, players can earn free packs. During the 2026 Opening Day weekend, users could earn up to four packs per day through the "Drops for All" campaign.
Frame Rate Drops
While not a reward mechanic, some players have reported performance issues related to "frame rate drops" on PS5 and Xbox Series X, particularly when playing in 4K resolution. These drops are a technical issue, not a feature of the game's reward system.
